Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 4% on 12 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2024 to 28 Jul 2024, the highest close was 6.3% on 20 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 28 Jul 2024. $107.82K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 1:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 12 Jul 2024 – 28 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | 4.0% |
| 28 Jul 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ChosenPhoenix | Yes | 3.19K |
| layups | Yes | 1.4K |
| dmt | Yes | 1.25K |
| Kabooty | Yes | 379.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin Conference at 19:00 UTC for 30 minutes on the last day of the conference, which runs from July 25-27. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the word(s) "mog", "mogs", "mogged" and/or "mogging" at the Bitcoin Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. If the conference ends and Trump does not appear, or if Trump's appearance is definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be Trump's appearance during the conference and/or any official transcript, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-says-mog-at-bitcoin-conference
| palmeidabp | Yes | 200 |
| kspeeds | Yes | 189.45 |
| zebedebe1405 | Yes | 158.05 |
| Winner999 | Yes | 126.7 |
| gunit | Yes | 100 |
| Jack248 | Yes | 60.06 |
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