Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 16 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 4.6% on 4 Jun 2024 and the low 2.1% on 26 Jun 2024. $69.02K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 6:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 16 May 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2024 | 3.5% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bach1229 | Yes | 6.52K |
| venture | Yes | 4.73K |
| Cosmokid | Yes | 2.26K |
| Mobie | Yes | 1.98K |
| mtheory | Yes | 1.82K |
| Sobads2131231 | Yes | 1.09K |
| Ynewak | Yes | 497.87 |
| NO25 | Yes | 416.18 |
| Med | Yes | 384.62 |
| CryptoCurious | Yes | 326.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says "boden" at least once during the first debate he has with Joe Biden for the 2024 election cycle, presently scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump may say the word "boden" in any context - however it must clearly be heard as "boden" and not any other pronunciation. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If no such debate occurs by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-says-boden-in-debate
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