Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 24% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 28 Aug 2026, the highest close was 99.4% on 28 Aug 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 83 points up, to 99.4% on 28 Aug 2026. $52.5K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 2:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 24.0% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yesworld28 | No | 12.38K |
| ctradez | No | 2K |
| coali10 | No | 1.48K |
| labistiiia | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, or signs any bill into law, or otherwise officially renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames Lake Ontario accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-lake-ontario-to-lake-america-in-2026
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| wvsfsafasd | No | 500 |
| DREAMBIG. | No | 200 |
| marinexx777 | No | 121.66 |
| Bromley86 | No | 100 |
| UncleFill | No | 100 |
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