Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 18 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 39.5% on 18 Aug 2024 and the low 2.1% on 22 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 23.5% on 19 Aug 2024. $73.83K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 6:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 18 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2024 | 39.5% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25.42K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 500.43 |
| sjw-715 | Yes | 111.11 |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Yes | 3.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts between 40 (inclusive) and 49 (inclusive) times on X between August 16, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and August 23, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1345967072006828033 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-tweets-august-16-23
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