
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 12 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2025 to 2 Apr 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 12 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Apr 2025. $13.31K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 3:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Mar 2025 – 2 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2025 | 12.5% |
| 2 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bodiyt | Yes | 16.11 |
| Incredible-Flanker | Yes | 10 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for April 1, is not published by April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), the next previous datapoint will be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-positive-approval-on-april-1
| JDULIA | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page