
Resolved No on 9 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 27% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 9 Apr 2025, the highest close was 27% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 7% on 9 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 7% on 9 Apr 2025. $31.73K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 10, 9:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 9 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 27.0% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fartard | Yes | 100 |
| jonathancastles | Yes | 74.07 |
| futureborn | No | 33.33 |
| Ripwxck | No | 6.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU) scheduled to go into effect on April 9, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT. See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces a pause, delay, or removal of country-specific reciprocal tariffs on any country by April 9, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any announcement within this market's time frame will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-pauses-any-reciprocal-tariff-before-wednesday
| JDULIA | No | 0.02 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
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