Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8% on 3 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 3 Aug 2023 to 16 Aug 2023, the highest close was 42% on 5 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.3% on 16 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 42% on 5 Aug 2023. $36.29K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 16, 10:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 3 Aug 2023 – 16 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2023 | 8.0% |
| 16 Aug 2023 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plaintive-Atheist | No | 121.45 |
| Suburban-Slot | Yes | 97 |
| OHO | Yes | 55.56 |
| Luisweb3 | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-mugshot-by
New to prediction markets?
| Cautious-Carbon | Yes | 33.33 |
| Meek-Diagram | Yes | 20 |
