
Resolved No on 25 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 21 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2024 to 25 Aug 2024, the highest close was 11.5% on 21 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.7 points down, to 3.8% on 22 Aug 2024. $126.64K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Aug 2024 – 25 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2024 | 11.5% |
| 25 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.52K |
| Cumbersome-Mandarin | Yes | 18.52 |
| All-Lane | Yes | 1.17 |
| Sophisticated-Drake | Yes | 0.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" is said between 50 (inclusive) and 74 (inclusive) times on the second night of the DNC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any live mention on stage which is audible on the stream of the event will count toward this market. Ads won't count - only in-person mentions count. Pluralization/possessive of "Trump" will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Note for example if "Donald is running for President" is said, it doesn't count as a mention - only "Trump" counts. Note: Any mention of "Trump" counts regardless of context, even if it is used as a verb. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the second night of the DNC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-mentions-at-dnc-today
| 0xabcd | Yes | 0.06 |
| Humble-Source | No | 0.01 |
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