Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by December 31?

politicsActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

49.5%

50.5%

Yes costs 49.5¢No costs 50.5¢

24h Volume

$29

Total volume

$29

Liquidity

$11

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Yes is at 49.5%, about where the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.

Across the 86 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 27 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%; a month before, 48%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 43% on 14 Aug 2026.

$28.92 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.86, with a 87.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.

The largest Yes position is Neon Vector EA1F with 29 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 29.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:08 AM UTC

Trade

Trade Yes49.5¢

Pays $1 a share if Yes wins$28.92 24h vol

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Neon Vector EA1F	Yes	28.92
xtxpleasecallme	No	28.92

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

What settles this market

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.