Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0%; no result has been reported.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2024 to 28 Jan 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 17 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Jan 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7.6 points down, to 0.1% on 25 Jan 2024.
$93.9K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Teo with 327 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 151.5K.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 8:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 17 Jan 2024 – 28 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2024 | 9.5% |
| 28 Jan 2024 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 151.48K |
| Teo | Yes | 327 |
| Anonghtk | Yes | 52.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by between 5% (inclusive) and 7.5% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-margin-of-victory-in-new-hampshire-primary
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