Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 5 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 151 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2024 to 2 Nov 2024, the highest close was 5.3% on 16 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Nov 2024. $122.73K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 3:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 5 Jun 2024 – 2 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2024 | 4.5% |
| 2 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grubby-Funding | Yes | 1.8K |
| ER02CB | Yes | 1.53K |
| Total-Pinafore | Yes | 1.42K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is barred from participating in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling that only affects Trump's eligibility in a certain state will not qualify. Only a full election ban such as from a federal court or by an act of Congress will qualify. A ban will result in an immediate “Yes” resolution even if the ban is later revoked or overturned. If no such ruling is made by the November 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ineligible-to-run-for-president
| Yes |
| 1.23K |
| marlis | Yes | 999 |
| mavashi | Yes | 985 |
| Paltry-Salute | Yes | 866.67 |
| Quintessential-Hop | Yes | 647.5 |
| Enlightened-Recapitulation | Yes | 484.41 |
| ER03PT | Yes | 306.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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