Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 10 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 21% on 18 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 10.5% on 13 Apr 2025. $116.26K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 6:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 10 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wessouthwes | Yes | 612.08 |
| andreo2503 | Yes | 458.57 |
| Chuckieg4 | Yes | 223.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 200% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 200% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-imposes-200-tariff-on-china-before-june
| Yes |
| 30.3 |
| rattenkoning | Yes | 29.41 |
| Cryptonick21 | Yes | 25 |
| LeopardTiger | Yes | 21.43 |
| yangyangdeyi | Yes | 8.65 |
| Tera0002 | Yes | 4.55 |
| mary1994 | Yes | 4.08 |
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