Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 5 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2025 to 9 Apr 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 9 Apr 2025 and the lowest 10.5% on 5 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 91.5% on 9 Apr 2025. $183.08K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 10, 10:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 5 Apr 2025 – 9 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | 10.5% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cryptocons | No | 5.32K |
| Intc | No | 3.25K |
| Nuker | No | 1.47K |
| jbx2060 | No | 1.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-imposes-100-tariff-on-china-before-july
| MegaChuck64 | No | 312.5 |
| octy | No | 289.49 |
| Pepino | No | 191.57 |
| qxsmt | No | 190 |
| Fartard | No | 111 |
| Neat-Mantle | No | 93.18 |
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