Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 17 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2023 to 25 Aug 2023, the highest close was 31.5% on 17 Aug 2023 and the lowest 7% on 25 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 7% on 25 Aug 2023. $204.95K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 2:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Aug 2023 – 25 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2023 | 31.5% |
| 25 Aug 2023 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 3.26K |
| Jeffscottward | Yes | 3.07K |
| quickparty | Yes | 323.53 |
| hmm | Yes | 306.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump weighs over 260 pounds when he's booked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trump's weight is not released by September 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information released by municipal or state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-heavier-than-260-lbs
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| sgt_pepz | Yes | 66.67 |
| autist | No | 0.22 |
| DERELICTE! | Yes | 0.07 |
| we1-960 | No | 0.06 |
| gmgm-877 | No | 0.05 |
