Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 7.5% on 25 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Nov 2024. $47.72K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 5:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 7.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Young-Participant | Yes | 9.62K |
| equinox | Yes | 125 |
| Buckibucki | Yes | 50 |
| Bold Falcon 88F8 | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a video of Donald Trump groping a woman is made public between October 23 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying videos must be video footage showing non-consensual physical contact initiated by Trump on a woman's breast, buttocks, or crotch. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered. The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-grope-video-relaesed-before-the-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| fwplux1 | Yes | 12.5 |
| dav1-706 | No | 0.05 |
| Zuriohun | No | 0.02 |
| dorewowj11 | No | 0.01 |
