
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 22 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17% on 22 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 6% on 23 Oct 2025. $37.88K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ddd019 | Yes | 649.77 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 291 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any executive order by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that aims to eliminate or dismantle the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-executive-order-ending-nasa-in-2025
| Yes |
| 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| KellyPhillips9072 | Yes | 222 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173.99 |
| DarylSalazar2758 | Yes | 165 |
| TimothyKennedy1931 | Yes | 123 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 114 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page