Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 8 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 151 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 14.5% on 9 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 4% on 3 Jul 2024. $73.86K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 12:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 8 Jun 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2024 | 11.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sniper123 | Yes | 1.7K |
| Impeccable-Month | Yes | 1.2K |
| web3funny | Yes | 600 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is convicted of any new felony by any US court between June 6 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent appeals will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-convicted-of-another-felony-before-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dworak | Yes | 333.33 |
| VKah33 | Yes | 333 |
| nouseforaname | Yes | 100 |
| RadLilDude | Yes | 40 |
| anonamer1 | Yes | 16.67 |
| wubbalubbadubdub | No | 1.15 |
| cindy | No | 1.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
