Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 8% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 26 Apr 2026. $29.39K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 3:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 8.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shineee | Yes | 2.82K |
| Dilipo | Yes | 804.98 |
| Caring-Fax | Yes | 501.38 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 310.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ballroom-project-unblocked-by-april-30
| TFBeale | Yes | 211.65 |
| Genuine-Polo | Yes | 187.6 |
| violentshadows | Yes | 101.58 |
| apoloquiroga | Yes | 83.01 |
| aidenbozo | Yes | 66.49 |
| hajcurra | Yes | 48.95 |
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