Analytics
Resolved Down on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 93%. The Up side opened at 46.5% on 18 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 18 Oct 2025 and the low 7% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 25.5% on 21 Oct 2025. $2.17K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 18 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | 46.5% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oooooiii | Up | 33.33 |
| Saruni | Up | 33.33 |
| HarryHaller | Up | 27.14 |
| Lined-Pickax | Down | 20.21 |
| FelixSchustermann | Up | 17.95 |
| ChaimBergstein | Up | 7.14 |
| VibeTrader | Up | 5.56 |
| BroncoKarat | Up | 5 |
| Mmrk | Up | 5 |
| fengzhang929 | Down | 2.22 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on October 24, than October 17, 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on October 17, than October 24, 2025. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-249
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