Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Name: Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? — implied probability history
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Resolved

No, settled Jun 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.5M

Resolved

Settled

Jun 16, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC	1.5%	1.5%
Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC	3.6%	3.6%
Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC	6.0%	6.0%
Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC	17.0%	17.0%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%

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