Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Dec 2025.
$15.37K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 19 Dec 2025, chart shows 36%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 42.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | No | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 718 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 368 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 358 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 310 |
| 9735 | No | 300 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 228 |
| tiancs | No | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 184 |
| t189 | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-new-drug-boat-strike-by-218
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
