Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 73% on 25 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 99.1% on 26 Jun 2024 and the lowest 69.5% on 13 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 87% on 27 Apr 2024. $586.01K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 25 Jan 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2024 | 73.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 99.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| carborator | No | 9.63K |
| Alex92 | No | 3.33K |
| furi | No | 2.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Joe Biden engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate for 2024 US presidential election candidates by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-and-biden-debate-before-presidential-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ProfMcCarthy | No | 855.56 |
| PreTor | No | 673.33 |
| QLV | No | 547.69 |
| Adskiybomgara | No | 326.13 |
| progzy | No | 285.71 |
| feedthebears | No | 248.54 |
| Ikkyusan | No | 222.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
