Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, down 20 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 75 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 10% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26%; a month before, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 49.5% on 5 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Trevor Lawrence 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards”.
The order book holds $244.02, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 91 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Trevor Lawrence records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4,274.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trevor Lawrence does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Trevor Lawrence recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trevor-lawrence-passing-yards-2026-27
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