Analytics
Yes is at 27.5%, down 16 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 28 Nov 2025.
The high was 72.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 11% on 1 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 28%; a month ago, 39%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 43.5% on 29 Jun 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$123 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.36K since listing. The order book holds $14.79K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 387 trades, $4.15K bought Yes and $5.48K bought No; the largest was a $2.12K sell of No at 70.8¢.
The largest Yes position is imjustalarp with 8.2K shares; the largest No position is Elementary-Gold with 3K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 81 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 11:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 304 points · 28 Nov 2025 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 43.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 27.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| imjustalarp | Yes | 8.21K |
| Elementary-Gold | No | 3K |
| starboyreborn | No | 1.57K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/theo-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| traffy.hl |
| No |
| 1.29K |
| grepxd2 | No | 1K |
| Esports2026 | No | 404.39 |
| HEBI55 | Yes | 379.5 |
| Beyonddream | No | 378.33 |
| qoxldtls | No | 360.53 |
| jaggadon | No | 281.93 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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