
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 6 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 6 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25% on 7 Aug 2025. $11.56K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 6 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.08K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 266 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "The Outer Worlds 2" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/the-outer-worlds-2/) as of seven days after the release, at 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. If this game is not released by April 29, 2026, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-outer-worlds-2-metacritic-score
| Yes |
| 218.95 |
| rated | Yes | 138.75 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 97.1 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 23.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 16 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 15 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 11 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page