Analytics
Resolved Inoue on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Inoue at 18.5%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 81.5% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 1 May 2026. $114.29K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 9:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 May 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 74%–86%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 77.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| migueldiaz | Nakatani | 7.55K |
| Dear-Tonic | Nakatani | 5.32K |
| Aggressive-Meaning | Nakatani | 2.94K |
| slimjoe | Nakatani | 2.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Inoue" if Naoya Inoue is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junto Nakatani, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan. It will resolve to "Nakatani" if Junto Nakatani is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese Boxing Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani
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