Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.5%. Yes opened at 69% on 18 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2025 to 27 Dec 2025, the highest close was 96.5% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 69% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 85.5% on 19 Dec 2025. $53.5K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 18 Dec 2025 – 27 Dec 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 | 69.0% |
| 27 Dec 2025 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thewin | No | 3.5K |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 919.79 |
| cryptomanager | No | 750.45 |
| DirtyDogg | No | 269.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia between December 8, and December 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thailand-x-cambodia-ceasefire-by-december-15
| elon-yaps | No | 246.3 |
| SureWinMany | No | 231.7 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 145.6 |
| Golden Pulse 5B87 | No | 111.11 |
| 3776 | No | 111.11 |
| lallo000 | No | 105.97 |
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