Yes is at 72%, up 22 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 92.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 50% on 12 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 92.5%; a month ago, 70.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 85.5% on 15 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Tetairoa McMillan 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns”.
$60 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.21, with a 46.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 20 shares; the largest No position is Coral Summit 331B with 20.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 104 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 83.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 20 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Tetairoa McMillan records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 2.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tetairoa McMillan does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Tetairoa McMillan recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tetairoa-mcmillan-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page