Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 4 Nov 2023. Before it settled, the high was 10.5% on 5 Nov 2023 and the low 0.4% on 11 Nov 2023. $96.11K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 11, 11:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 4 Nov 2023 – 11 Nov 2023, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2023 | 9.5% |
| 11 Nov 2023 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Pioneer 757C | Yes | 220 |
| EddyBaby3 | Yes | 39.46 |
| lylert111 | Yes | 20 |
| Solar Orbit 2DBB | Yes | 0.1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel enters a ceasefire in exchange for hostages held by Hamas by November 10, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (UTC + 2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ceasefire will be considered a publicly announced and mutually agreed upon halt in military engagement between Israel and Hamas. For this market to resolve "Yes", the referenced entities must enter the ceasefire and the hostages must be exchanged before the resolution date, regardless of the de facto length of the the ceasefire. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/temporary-ceasefire-for-hostages-deal-by-nov-10
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