Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in September 2026?

Market referencetemperature-increase-2026-09-28-b4Updated 3m ago

weatherActive

Closes Nov 2, 2026 UTCclimateweather

Yes

18.5%

81.5%

Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢

24h Volume

$55

Liquidity

$184

Closes

Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Yes price

18.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

18.5%

81.5%

24h volume

$54.7

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 18.5¢

Open in terminal$54.7 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

21.0%

Observed

3m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

18.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

54.7 / 54.7

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 30, 3:00 PM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Sep 30, 3:00 PM UTC	18.5%	18.5%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	18.0%	18.0%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Sep 30, 3:00 PM UTC

18.5%

Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC

18.0%

Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%