Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in September 2026?

Market referencetemperature-increase-2026-09-28-b3Updated just now

weatherActive

Closes Nov 2, 2026 UTCclimateweather

Yes

52.5%

47.5%

Buy Yes 52.5¢Buy No 47.5¢

24h Volume

Liquidity

$60

Closes

Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Yes price

52.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

52.5%

47.5%

24h volume

$2.4

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 52.5¢

Open in terminal$2.4 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

6m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

61.0%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

52.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

1.2 / 1.2

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis
Exemplary-Decisionmaking	No	1.2	17.0%	$1.2
AJSV	Yes	1.2	24.0%	$1.2

Showing 2 of 2 loaded positive position rows.

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Exemplary-Decisionmaking

1.2

17.0%

$1.2

AJSV

Yes

1.2

24.0%

$1.2

Trader	Current holding value
AJSV	$0.63
Exemplary-Decisionmaking	$0.57