Analytics
Yes is at 74.5%, up 44 points from 31% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 25 Oct 2026. The current quote, 74.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 74% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 74% on 30 Oct 2026.
160-179 is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Ted Cruz # posts October 23 - October 30, 2026?”, ahead of 180-199 at 13.3%.
$29.91 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.38K since listing. The order book holds $104.79, with a 29.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 84 trades, $410.85 bought Yes and $584.34 bought No.
The largest Yes position is dkjj with 804 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 856. Ten wallets hold 91% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 855.92 |
| dkjj | Yes | 804.4 |
| MikaelB | Yes | 226.63 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ted-cruz-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026
| rovim-plymkt |
| No |
| 211.74 |
| Haradwaith | No | 134.5 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 117.5 |
| LuckyDrake | Yes | 82.2 |
| a5533 | No | 49.99 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 48.57 |
| Sneaky-Staircase | No | 40.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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