Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled May 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.0K

Resolved

Settled

May 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 6 May 2026 to 15 May 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 14% on 8 May 2026. $1.03K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 15, 7:30 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 May 2026 – 15 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 May 2026	25.0%
15 May 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	380.15
Amber Falcon CFF5	Yes	120
Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank	Yes	110
TENETENET	Yes	99.97

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/tedcruz