Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 29, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.4K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 29, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 29 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 20% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 29 Aug 2026, the highest close was 53% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 0.4% on 29 Aug 2026. $4.45K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 4:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Aug 2026	20.0%
29 Aug 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
meagainsttheworld	Yes	476.68
Indigo Signal 2966	No	298.02
IBSI	Yes	110
menthe2	Yes	50

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.