
Resolved Yes on 13 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 79.5%. Yes opened at 64% on 27 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2023 to 13 Jan 2024, the highest close was 79.5% on 13 Jan 2024 and the lowest 45% on 16 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 45% on 16 Nov 2023. $1.81M traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 2:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 27 Oct 2023 – 13 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2023 | 64.0% |
| 13 Jan 2024 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fairplay | No | 52.42K |
| Bright Tide 9385 | No | 25.17K |
| Unconscious9485 | No | 16.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taiwan-presidential-election-who-will-win
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| No |
| 2.86K |
| met | No | 2.08K |
| 核廢料 | No | 1.13K |
| hsh0927 | No | 1.04K |
| BTC_king | No | 888 |
| An12322 | No | 416.67 |
| ocelot2123 | No | 400 |