Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 29 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2023 to 13 Jan 2024, the highest close was 30.5% on 30 Nov 2023 and the lowest 9.5% on 13 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 24% on 2 Dec 2023. $620.03K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 2:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 29 Nov 2023 – 13 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2023 | 25.0% |
| 13 Jan 2024 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taiwan-presidential-election-who-will-win
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