Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 3 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Aug 2023 to 7 Aug 2023, the highest close was 99.5% on 7 Aug 2023 and the lowest 86% on 4 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 97.5% on 5 Aug 2023. $126.83K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 10:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Aug 2023 – 7 Aug 2023, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2023 | 92.5% |
| 7 Aug 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sunny-Skiing | No | 5.16K |
| omok | No | 550 |
| Forsaken-Distinction | No | 200 |
| Enlightened-Recipient | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether the average price of "Yes" shares in the "Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?" market https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real is between 15¢ and 65¢ (inclusive) on August 6, 2023, ET. To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval on August 6, 2023, ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on August 6, 2023, ET. If the average price of “Yes” shares on August 6, 2023 is between 15¢ and 65¢ (inclusive), this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise it will resolve to “No.” The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is August 6, 2023 and samples have been taken: https://data.polymarket.io/public/question/14e3cfb9-d4f9-400f-a218-754a0e7abce8. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.
Resolution source: https://data.polymarket.io/public/question/14e3cfb9-d4f9-400f-a218-754a0e7abce8
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/superconductor-yes-trading-between-15c-and-65c-eow
| hhhhhh-432 | No | 118.69 |
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 100 |
| azure | No | 55.56 |
| soh-389 | No | 46.77 |
| ThePredictor-591 | No | 9.93 |
| Rapid Beacon 97CA | No | 0.24 |
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