Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 9 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2024 to 12 Feb 2024, the highest close was 68.5% on 9 Feb 2024 and the lowest 46% on 12 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 46% on 12 Feb 2024. $49.6K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 9 Feb 2024 – 12 Feb 2024, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2024 | 68.5% |
| 12 Feb 2024 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gamblor23 | No | 922.33 |
| BruceTheGoose | No | 263.16 |
| Dm24 | No | 166.67 |
| Fluc | No | 78.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LVIII, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, Taylor Swift is shown on-screen more than 5 times (i.e. 6 or more times). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/super-bowl-taylor-swift-shown-more-than-5-times
| Toshi0101 | Yes | 28.17 |
| omegaonion | Yes | 12.5 |
| erttrwwtrtw | Yes | 0.03 |
| Rivent | Yes | 0.01 |
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