Analytics
Resolved No on 21 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 May 2026 to 21 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 9 May 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 20 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 11.5% on 14 May 2026. $1.19K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 22, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 May 2026 – 21 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 May 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shrill-Result | Yes | 62.5 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 14.87 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 7.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 20, 2026 If Club Independiente Petrolero wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sud-idp-bot-2026-05-20-halftime-result
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