Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 31.5% on 14 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 4.3% on 24 Jun 2025. $385.85K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 14 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2025 | 31.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 11.05K |
| bossbaby21 | Yes | 6.53K |
| po1yuser | Yes | 4K |
| sherdil | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic military strike is carried out on the Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center, between June 13, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/strike-on-israels-dimonah-nuclear-base-in-june
| vaso28 | Yes | 714.29 |
| Zighy | Yes | 434.78 |
| andre20l | Yes | 289.86 |
| Ceebee | Yes | 238.95 |
| Myl0 | Yes | 203.26 |
| Lukatsigro | Yes | 181.82 |
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