
Resolved No on 22 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 53% on 22 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 22 Jun 2024 to 22 Jul 2024, the highest close was 75.5% on 23 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 17.5% on 29 Jun 2024. $23.05K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 5:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 22 Jun 2024 – 22 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2024 | 53.0% |
| 22 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| marky-mark | Yes | 100 |
| btc007 | Yes | 15 |
| Rayman | Yes | 1.52 |
| WordleAddict | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| 7153649820 | No | 0.02 |
| fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Yes | 0.01 |