Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 11.5% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 17% on 25 Dec 2025. $14.23K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 5, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| csgb | Yes | 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| t189 | Yes | 100 |
| j.marat | Yes | 83.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - ‘Clair Obscur: Expedition 33’ wins Steam Awards: Game of the Year - ‘ARC Raiders’ wins Steam Awards: Most Innovative Gameplay - ‘Kingdom Come: Deliverance II’ wins Steam Awards: Outstanding Story-Rich Game - ‘Hades II’ wins Steam Awards: Best Game on Steam Deck - ‘Baldur's Gate 3’ wins Steam Awards: Labor of Love - ‘Hollow Knight: Silksong’ wins Steam Awards: Best Game You Suck At Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. If, for any reason, any winner is not declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case the specified game is a co-winner, in the specified category, this will suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Steam+Awards+Edition.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/steam-awards-parlay
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 14.99 |
| Harmful-Elbow | Yes | 8.33 |
| Grandiose-Decongestant | Yes | 8.33 |
| iForgor | Yes | 0.02 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 0.01 |
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