Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 43.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the low 0.3% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 24.5% on 28 Jun 2026. $4.24K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| akko123 | Yes | 300 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Strident-Request | Yes | 91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/squid-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| sxdr5 | No | 13 |
| xgi9 | No | 8 |
| jj667y | No | 8 |
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