
Resolved No on 26 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 23 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27.1% on 26 May 2026 and the low 1.2% on 24 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 27.1% on 26 May 2026. $549.39 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 27, 12:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 May 2026 – 26 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 7.5% |
| 26 May 2026 | 27.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 15 |
| Gaile | Yes | 15 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 14 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 13 |
| Fodenn | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 26?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-26-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page