
Resolved No on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 18 May 2026, the highest close was 1.1% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 18 May 2026. $1.59K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 May 2026 – 18 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 1.1% |
| 18 May 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Slight-Compost | Yes | 89.53 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.89 |
| 7657546 | Yes | 44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-18-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
| ConstantineVIII | Yes | 0.01 |