
Resolved Yes on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.5%. Yes opened at 95% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 98.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the low 89.5% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.9 points up, to 98.5% on 7 Sep 2026. $164.17 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 8 Sep 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 95.0% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 8?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-september-8-2026
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