Analytics
Resolved No on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 39.7% on 17 May 2026 and the low 2.5% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 39.7% on 17 May 2026. $7.06K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 5:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 16 May 2026 – 18 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 2.5% |
| 18 May 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mimicnabnab | Yes | 2.35K |
| abryant42 | Yes | 993.4 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| olekslie | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| ConstantineVIII | Yes | 1.22 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-18-2026
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