Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 19 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2026 to 22 Jun 2026, the highest close was 42% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 35% on 21 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 36% on 20 Jun 2026. $3.97K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 23, 7:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Jun 2026 – 22 Jun 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2026 | 42.0% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| capib | Yes | 117.47 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Dearest-Realm | Yes | 34.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 22?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-june-22-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PPMT | Yes | 30.62 |
| paseorabbit | Yes | 21.74 |
| L.X | Yes | 16.02 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Muncheeeeeeeeese | Yes | 14.71 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
