
Resolved Yes on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89%. Yes opened at 80.5% on 30 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 89% on 1 Jun 2026 and the lowest 80.5% on 30 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 88% on 31 May 2026. $4K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 10:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026, chart shows 75%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2026 | 80.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 89.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dearest-Realm | No | 92.42 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| daroghi | No | 26.34 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-june-1-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.03 |
| thanksforplayin | No | 0.01 |