
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 10% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 9 May 2026. $3.02K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 9:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 4.5% |
| 11 May 2026 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-11-2026
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| triklozoid | Yes | 49.99 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 11.05 |
| sharpcue | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 4.99 |